got here last_myear >2025< curyear 2026 myear 2025 connect_ip 216.73.216.163
refer Baseball Handbook
maintenance 1 internal 1 debug 1 hostname brandonbear debug_host brandonbear
got here maint 1 curyear 2026 default_action listgames

got here gamenum 202605160 abort 0
got here find in gamekey 202605160_SDN_SEA year 2026 curyear 2026
got here sql select gamenum,awayteam,hometeam from mlbgames where ( awayteam='SDN' and hometeam='SEA' ) and dateid=20260516 limit 1;

got here in mysql_assoc Game 202605160 SDN SEA
got here level 1 end of chain action game jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202605160_SDN_SEA -- 1 20260516
got here jframe_except 1 maint 1
Choose a Day
got here ..... end of chain jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202605160_SDN_SEA
canonical link https://baseball-handbook.com/index.php?game=202605160_SDN_SEA
description Summary of handicapping and results for game between San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners on 2026-05-16
keywords baseball reference, handicapping, game results
got here postseason 1 preseason 0 end_of_season 20260927/20260220 curyear 2026
gameHeader --> curyear 2026 action game myaction details gamekey 202605160_SDN_SEA intgameHeader --> gamekey 202605160_SDN_SEA postseason 0 action game myaction >details<

got here internal 1
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/details.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA int

GLOBAL simtype 1

SDN SEA 2026-05-16 18:15 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
SDN010 400 20071770
SEA000 110 02041180

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
SDN-1.610Walker Buehler (R) 153.7-2.48
SEA2.050Logan Gilbert (R) 186.00.98

gamekey 202605160_SDN_SEA awayteam SDN
got here po 0 startawayurl Walker Buehler

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
SDN0.4100.4121431430.400 - 0.4310.392
SEA0.6360.631-171580.620 - 0.6400.608

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
SDN-0.02/1.93Logan Gilbert
-0.98/0.77=-1/1
Relief SEA
-0.5/0.35=-1/2
SEA-0.29/-1.11Walker Buehler
--2.48/-1.8=2/1
Relief SDN
-7.11/10.19=-4/-5
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA vegas
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/showsim.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA sim2 int
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curhorserace.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA gamekey | /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/bmkhtml.pl horserace
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/ahtiers.pl 202605160_SDN_SEA

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
SDN2618-11.2-3.713.98.2
SEA2224-8.917.85.1-4.9

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
SDN0.5120.59113.2%-19.8%45
SEA0.5600.478-20.7%14.3%47

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:15

details
SDN0.4100.4380.3920.454106.995.6110.8
SEA0.6320.5620.6080.54688.896.186.3

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:15

details
SDN0.4100.5740.5440.590140.1132.7144.0
SEA0.6320.4260.4560.41067.372.064.8

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
SDN913.50.0-0.313.88.6
SEA-314.9-0.49.06.2-5.3

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYSDN1.011.64
HOMESEA-0.06-0.17

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