got here last_myear >2025< curyear 2026 myear 2025 connect_ip 216.73.216.163
refer Baseball Handbook
maintenance 1 internal 1 debug 1 hostname brandonbear debug_host brandonbear
got here maint 1 curyear 2026 default_action listgames

got here gamenum 202604280 abort 0
got here find in gamekey 202604280_BOS_TOR year 2026 curyear 2026
got here sql select gamenum,awayteam,hometeam from mlbgames where ( awayteam='BOS' and hometeam='TOR' ) and dateid=20260428 limit 1;

got here in mysql_assoc Game 202604280 BOS TOR
got here level 1 end of chain action game jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202604280_BOS_TOR -- 1 20260428
got here jframe_except 1 maint 1
Choose a Day
got here ..... end of chain jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202604280_BOS_TOR
canonical link https://baseball-handbook.com/index.php?game=202604280_BOS_TOR
description Summary of handicapping and results for game between Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays on 2026-04-28
keywords baseball reference, handicapping, game results
got here postseason 1 preseason 0 end_of_season 20260927/20260220 curyear 2026
gameHeader --> curyear 2026 action game myaction details gamekey 202604280_BOS_TOR intgameHeader --> gamekey 202604280_BOS_TOR postseason 0 action game myaction >details<

got here internal 1
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/details.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR int

GLOBAL simtype 1

BOS TOR 2026-04-28 18:07 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BOS000 000 0000540
TOR002 010 003760

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BOS3.960Payton Tolle (L) 148.7-0.09
TOR1.120Trey Yesavage (R) 97.7-0.06

gamekey 202604280_BOS_TOR awayteam BOS
got here po 0 startawayurl Payton Tolle

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BOS0.4900.507-103970.490 - 0.512NA
TOR0.5580.535-115870.535 - 0.558NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
BOS0.01/-0.15Trey Yesavage
--0.06/-0.07=0/0
Relief TOR
-0.91/1.12=-1/-1
TOR-0.29/-0.09Payton Tolle
--0.09/-0.11=0/0
Relief BOS
-1.86/1.48=-2/-2
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR vegas
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/showsim.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR sim2 int
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curhorserace.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR gamekey | /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/bmkhtml.pl horserace
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/ahtiers.pl 202604280_BOS_TOR

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BOS1217-8.21.40.9-3.8
TOR1216-20.2-8.60.91.9

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
BOS0.5380.414-26.8%21.4%30
TOR0.5360.429-20.4%19.4%29

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:07

details
BOS0.507NANANANANANA
TOR0.535NANANANANANA

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:07

details
BOS0.507XXXXXX
TOR0.535XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
TOR-38.5-0.32.36.52.3
BOS-617.13.45.58.2-4.1

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYBOS-0.75-0.05
HOMETOR-0.48-0.08

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