got here last_myear >2025< curyear 2026 myear 2025 connect_ip 216.73.216.163
refer Baseball Handbook
maintenance 1 internal 1 debug 1 hostname brandonbear debug_host brandonbear
got here maint 1 curyear 2026 default_action listgames

got here gamenum 202605010 abort 0
got here find in gamekey 202605010_PHI_MIA year 2026 curyear 2026
got here sql select gamenum,awayteam,hometeam from mlbgames where ( awayteam='PHI' and hometeam='MIA' ) and dateid=20260501 limit 1;

got here in mysql_assoc Game 202605010 PHI MIA
got here level 1 end of chain action game jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202605010_PHI_MIA -- 1 20260501
got here jframe_except 1 maint 1
Choose a Day
got here ..... end of chain jframe actions.php?myaction=details&gamekey=202605010_PHI_MIA
canonical link https://baseball-handbook.com/index.php?game=202605010_PHI_MIA
description Summary of handicapping and results for game between Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins on 2026-05-01
keywords baseball reference, handicapping, game results
got here postseason 1 preseason 0 end_of_season 20260927/20260220 curyear 2026
gameHeader --> curyear 2026 action game myaction details gamekey 202605010_PHI_MIA intgameHeader --> gamekey 202605010_PHI_MIA postseason 0 action game myaction >details<

got here internal 1
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/details.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA int

GLOBAL simtype 1

PHI MIA 2026-05-01 18:10 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
PHI000 200 40061490
MIA100 000 03151181

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
PHI4.430Zack Wheeler (R) 162.04.02
MIA1.100Eury Perez (R) 159.0-0.25

gamekey 202605010_PHI_MIA awayteam PHI
got here po 0 startawayurl Zack Wheeler

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
PHI0.5670.535-115870.535 - 0.567NA
MIA0.4780.507-103970.478 - 0.512NA

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
PHI0.27/0.39Eury Perez
--0.25/-0.33=1/1
Relief MIA
-0.24/0.13=0/0
MIA-0.9/-1.76Zack Wheeler
-4.02/4.07=-5/-6
Relief PHI
--0.02/-0.01=-1/-2
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curleague.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA vegas
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/showsim.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA sim2 int
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/curhorserace.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA gamekey | /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/bmkhtml.pl horserace
got here ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/ahtiers.pl 202605010_PHI_MIA

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
PHI1219-24.6-17.3-3.12.5
MIA1516-3.213.0-8.8-1.2

Vegas Status

Vegas column shows how the betting community predicted Win Percentage. Real is real Win Percentage for that team. For column % won or lost betting For that team each game. Against % betting against.

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
PHI0.5750.387-32.5%21.4%32
MIA0.5110.484-4.5%-4.2%32

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
PHI0.535NANANANANANA
MIA0.507NANANANANANA

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
18:10

details
PHI0.535XXXXXX
MIA0.507XXXXXX

Horse Race Record

TmW-LTotalHittersStartersReliefdPE
MIA-2-3.3-3.1-4.84.6-2.0
PHI-617.78.86.72.23.2

Away/Home Field Advantage

total WAA column shows variance in team W-L (WAA) above or below league average of WAA=0.
away/home WAA shows variance above or below league away W-L (WAA) average for away team, league home average for home team.

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA
AWAYPHI-1.37-0.73
HOMEMIA-0.030.72

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