NLDS Game 4 2011-10-05

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MIL ARI

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Managers

Tm	Name
MIL	Ron_Roenicke
ARI	Kirk_Gibson

NLDS Game 4 MIL ARI 2011-10-05

Starters

Tm	Rank	WAA	Name	IP	Tier
MIL	XXXXX	1.39	Randy Wolf	212.3	0.15
ARI	XXXXX	1.34	Joe Saunders	212.0	0.14

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Start Time:6:37PM night Temp:75

TOG:205 Attendance:38830

Line Score

Tm	Line Score	R	TB	H	E
MIL	111 001 020	6	18	11	1
ARI	502 001 20	10	26	13	0

Vegas Lines

Win column displays payoff on a 100 unit bet which includes bet amount. Tier Combo Simulation (TC Sim) column will be populated after upgrades have been made to the simulator this off season.

Tm	Open	Current	Line	Win	TC Sim
MIL	0.495	0.495	+102	202	X
ARI	0.531	0.531	-113	188	X

2011 MIL ARI Matchups

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

Lineups		Pitchers		TC
MIL1.01/X		Joe Saunders
	-	0.14/X	=	1/X
		Relief ARI
	-	0.9/X	=	0/X
ARI0.16/X		Randy Wolf
	-	0.15/X	=	0/X
		Relief MIL
	-	0.4/X	=	0/X

MIL WAA		ARI WAA
1.81	-	1.36	=	0

MIL UR		ARI UR
0.02	-	0.13	=	0

2011 Vegas Status

Tm	Vegas	Real	For	Against	#Bets
MIL	0.537	0.593	4.6%	-17.1%	162
ARI	0.487	0.580	14.1%	-18.6%	162

2011 Team Status

Tm	W	L	BAT	PITCH	UR	dPE
MIL	96	66	30.1	52.7	2.0	12.2	NLDS
ARI	94	68	39.6	26.6	5.0	11.0	NLDS

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