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Expected Values for 2026-07-11

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:05

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MIL0.5050.5250.4930.567104.097.6112.3
PIT0.5370.4750.5070.43388.394.380.5
13:10

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ANA0.4050.4340.4040.385107.299.895.1
MIN0.6390.5660.5960.61588.393.095.9
13:10

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OAK0.517OOOOOO
CHA0.526OOOOOO
15:05

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NYA0.666XXXXXX
WAS0.379XXXXXX
15:05

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COL0.442XXXXXX
SFN0.602XXXXXX
15:05

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MIL0.563XXXXXX
PIT0.478XXXXXX
15:10

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SEA0.507XXXXXX
TBA0.535XXXXXX
15:10

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BOS0.435NANANANANANA
NYN0.608NANANANANANA
15:10

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CLE0.441XXXXXX
MIA0.605XXXXXX
17:10

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PHI0.582XXXXXX
DET0.463XXXXXX
18:05

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HOU0.500XXXXXX
TEX0.541XXXXXX
18:05

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KCA0.437XXXXXX
BAL0.608XXXXXX
18:10

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CHN0.512XXXXXX
CIN0.531XXXXXX
18:15

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ATL0.524XXXXXX
SLN0.519XXXXXX
19:40

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TOR0.515XXXXXX
SDN0.528XXXXXX
20:10

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ARI0.307XXXXXX
LAN0.738XXXXXX

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