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Expected Values for 2026-05-06

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
12:10

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TOR0.4570.4810.4510.415105.398.890.9
TBA0.5880.5190.5490.58588.293.399.4
12:15

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MIL0.5240.5420.4970.512103.594.997.8
SLN0.5190.4580.5030.48888.497.194.2
13:10

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LAN0.6870.7050.6730.717102.998.3104.7
HOU0.3570.2950.3270.28382.691.679.2
14:45

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SDN0.5240.5980.5540.614114.2105.8117.3
SFN0.5190.4020.4460.38677.686.174.5
15:07

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CHA0.531NANANANANANA
ANA0.512NANANANANANA
15:10

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ATL0.474------
SEA0.569------
17:40

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OAK0.412XXXXXX
PHI0.634XXXXXX
17:40

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BAL0.469XXXXXX
MIA0.571XXXXXX
17:40

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BOS0.522XXXXXX
DET0.522XXXXXX
17:45

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MIN0.550XXXXXX
WAS0.495XXXXXX
18:05

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TEX0.402XXXXXX
NYA0.644XXXXXX
18:40

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CLE0.463XXXXXX
KCA0.578XXXXXX
18:40

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CIN0.412XXXXXX
CHN0.631XXXXXX
20:20

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NYN0.621XXXXXX
COL0.422XXXXXX
20:40

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PIT0.563XXXXXX
ARI0.481XXXXXX

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