| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | -0.05 | -1.54 | Luis Severino (R) | 24.7 | -1.22 |
| MIL | 0.78 | 0 | Chad Patrick (R) | 15.3 | -0.08 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0.476 | 0.485 | +106 | 106 | 0.481 - 0.488 | X |
| MIL | 0.565 | 0.554 | -124 | 81 | 0.554 - 0.558 | X |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK-0.12* | Chad Patrick | |||
| - | -0.08 | = | 0 | |
| Relief MIL | ||||
| - | -0.07 | = | 0 | |
| MIL0.05* | Luis Severino | |||
| - | -1.22 | = | 1 | |
| Relief OAK | ||||
| - | -0.16 | = | 0 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 9 | 11 | 6.4 | -9.3 | -4.1 | -0.5 | |
| MIL | 11 | 9 | 12.4 | -10.3 | -2.1 | 2.0 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | Vegas | Real | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OAK | 0.456 | 0.450 | -12.4% | -3.7% | 20 |
| MIL | 0.519 | 0.550 | -1.2% | -19.4% | 20 |
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