| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | -0.10 | -0.38 | Simeon Woods Richardson (R) | 14.7 | -0.28 |
| ATL | -1.13 | 3.07 | Chris Sale (L) | 19.0 | 0.51 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0.370 | 0.351 | +185 | 185 | 0.339 - 0.357 | X |
| ATL | 0.672 | 0.689 | -222 | 45 | 0.683 - 0.701 | X |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN-0.21* | Chris Sale | |||
| - | 0.51 | = | -1 | |
| Relief ATL | ||||
| - | -1 | = | 1 | |
| ATL0.81* | Simeon Woods Richardson | |||
| - | -0.28 | = | 1 | |
| Relief MIN | ||||
| - | 0.01 | = | 1 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 7 | 13 | -14.6 | -2.3 | 1.9 | -2.9 | |
| ATL | 6 | 13 | -17.6 | -9.3 | 11.9 | -3.8 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | Vegas | Real | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0.516 | 0.350 | -37.6% | 30.3% | 20 |
| ATL | 0.536 | 0.316 | -43.5% | 37.4% | 19 |
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