| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCA | 0.08 | 3.94 | Seth Lugo (R) | 23.3 | 3.1 |
| DET | 0.57 | -0.52 | Casey Mize (R) | 17.3 | -0.07 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCA | 0.495 | 0.472 | +112 | 112 | 0.459 - 0.490 | X |
| DET | 0.550 | 0.567 | -131 | 76 | 0.548 - 0.583 | X |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCA-0.29 | Casey Mize | |||
| - | -0.07 | = | 0 | |
| Relief DET | ||||
| - | 1.25 | = | -2 | |
| DET-0.5 | Seth Lugo | |||
| - | 3.1 | = | -4 | |
| Relief KCA | ||||
| - | -0.08 | = | 0 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCA | 8 | 13 | -26.9 | -2.1 | 5.9 | -0.1 | |
| DET | 12 | 8 | 9.4 | 8.7 | 4.9 | -0.8 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | Vegas | Real | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCA | 0.498 | 0.381 | -29.1% | 15.0% | 21 |
| DET | 0.430 | 0.600 | 12.7% | -31.3% | 20 |
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