| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | -0.39 | -0.62 | Ben Lively (R) | 20.3 | -0.64 |
| PIT | 0.51 | 3.00 | Paul Skenes (R) | 24.3 | 2.26 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0.400 | 0.407 | +146 | 146 | 0.400 - 0.413 | X |
| PIT | 0.643 | 0.634 | -173 | 58 | 0.630 - 0.649 | X |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE-0.31* | Paul Skenes | |||
| - | 2.26 | = | -3 | |
| Relief PIT | ||||
| - | -1.51 | = | 1 | |
| PIT-1.08* | Ben Lively | |||
| - | -0.64 | = | 0 | |
| Relief CLE | ||||
| - | 3.35 | = | -4 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 10 | 9 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 2.7 | |
| PIT | 8 | 13 | -14.9 | -3.1 | -3.1 | -0.6 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | Vegas | Real | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0.463 | 0.526 | -3.3% | -14.2% | 19 |
| PIT | 0.468 | 0.381 | -28.2% | 11.9% | 21 |
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