| Tm | WAA | 2Yr | Name | IP | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | -0.33 | 2.83 | Zac Gallen (R) | 21.3 | 0.97 |
| CHN | -0.46 | 0.34 | Ben Brown (R) | 17.7 | -0.12 |
Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet
| Tm | Open | Current | Line | Win | Range | TC Sim |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0.535 | 0.493 | +103 | 103 | 0.488 - 0.500 | X |
| CHN | 0.512 | 0.548 | -121 | 83 | 0.541 - 0.556 | X |
Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.
Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.
| Lineups | Pitchers | TC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI2.46 | Ben Brown | |||
| - | -0.12 | = | 3 | |
| Relief CHN | ||||
| - | -1.38 | = | 4 | |
| CHN1.3 | Zac Gallen | |||
| - | 0.97 | = | 0 | |
| Relief ARI | ||||
| - | -1.15 | = | 2 |
| Tm | W | L | BAT | PITCH | UR | dPE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 12 | 8 | 30.4 | -16.3 | 5.9 | -0.2 | |
| CHN | 13 | 9 | 48.4 | -21.3 | 16.9 | -5.2 |
Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team
| Tm | Vegas | Real | For | Against | #Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0.539 | 0.600 | 7.5% | -16.4% | 20 |
| CHN | 0.484 | 0.591 | 26.9% | -34.1% | 20 |
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