Choose a Day

CHN SDN 2025-04-15 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
CHN000 001 000 1214102
SDN000 010 000 01951

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
CHN0.702.40Shota Imanaga (L) 23.31.6
SDN0.82-0.27Randy Vasquez (R) 15.70

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
CHN0.5520.614-159630.550 - 0.623X
SDN0.4740.4261351350.417 - 0.495X

Tier Combo Table

Tier variances range from +4 to -4 in Lineups/Pitcher columns below. These caps have been removed from display. The square root of a variance is standard deviation. Tier Combo integers are derived by subtacting Starter and Relief tiers from opposing team's lineup tier value shown in the table below.

Away/Home colors in tier column entries show which team is favored in that matchup and by how much. Tier Combo integers range from -6 to +6.

LineupsPitchersTC
CHN1.36Randy Vasquez
-0=1
Relief SDN
-2.65=-1
SDN-0.43Shota Imanaga
-1.6=-2
Relief CHN
--1.04=1

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
CHN12841.3-14.317.0-5.2
SDN1447.327.70.02.7

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
CHN0.4800.60030.2%-37.2%18
SDN0.5370.77838.1%-60.1%18

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
CHN0.614XXXXXX
SDN0.426XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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