Choose a Day

BAL ARI 2025-04-08 20:40 CST

Line Score

Click on a TeamID to bring up team status, a Line Score to access box score for that team

TmLine ScoreRTBHE
BAL200 000 1003541
ARI101 020 0041052

Starters

TmWAA2YrNameIPTier
BAL-1.081.06Charlie Morton (R) 8.3X
ARI-1.232.19Merrill Kelly (R) 9.0X

Vegas Lines

Win column is profit winning a 100 unit bet

TmOpenCurrentLineWinRangeTC Sim
BAL0.5280.528-112890.500 - 0.535X
ARI0.5100.512-105950.510 - 0.545X

Team Status

TmWLBATPITCHURdPE
BAL573.3-6.05.7-2.6
ARI6611.3-14.06.7-0.8

Vegas Status

Win/Loss columns based on median Vegas moneylines for that team

TmVegasRealForAgainst#Bets
BAL0.4860.417-18.5%9.8%12
ARI0.5330.500-6.6%4.2%12

Expected Values

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
20:40

details
BAL0.528XXXXXX
ARI0.512XXXXXX

Away/Home Field Advantage

Tmtotal WAAaway/home WAA

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