got here last_myear >2025< curyear 2026 myear 2025 connect_ip 216.73.216.163
refer Baseball Handbook
maintenance 1 internal 1 debug 1 hostname brandonbear debug_host brandonbear
got here maint 1 curyear 2026 default_action listgames
Baseball Handbook
got here level 1 end of chain action ev jframe actions.php?myaction=ev&dateid=20260729 -- 1 20260729
got here jframe_except 1 maint 1
Choose a Day
got here ..... end of chain jframe actions.php?myaction=ev&dateid=20260729
canonical link https://baseball-handbook.com/index.php?ev=today
description expected values based on comparing Tier Combo simulation with Vegas game moneylines
keywords expected value, baseball
got here postseason 1 preseason 0 end_of_season 20260927/20260220 curyear 2026
got here execthis ... /home/mea/baseball/br_year_data/showsim.pl 20260729 ntopHeader --> mydate 20260729 xyear 2026 curyear 2026 action ev myaction ev

Expected Values for 2026-07-29

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:10

details
PHI0.6300.6030.5730.57495.991.191.3
MIA0.4100.3970.4270.42696.9104.2103.9
11:35

details
ARI0.4760.5000.4710.470105.098.998.7
PIT0.5630.5000.5290.53089.094.294.3
12:05

details
TOR0.533OOOOOO
WAS0.498OOOOOO
12:10

details
ATL0.533NANANANANANA
NYN0.507NANANANANANA
12:10

details
BAL0.4000.4310.4010.402107.8100.2100.5
DET0.6400.5690.5990.59888.893.493.3
14:45

details
MIL0.519NANANANANANA
SFN0.519NANANANANANA
15:10

details
COL0.4170.4750.4440.423114.0106.6101.5
SDN0.6210.5250.5560.57784.589.592.9
17:40

details
TEX0.4480.4810.4510.414107.3100.692.3
TBA0.5920.5190.5490.58687.792.899.0
18:10

details
ATL0.517OOOOOO
NYN0.526OOOOOO
18:10

details
CLE0.578OOOOOO
CIN0.476OOOOOO
18:40

details
KCA0.373HAHA0.391HAHA104.8
MIN0.668HAHA0.609HAHA91.3
18:40

details
NYA0.5740.5830.5580.596101.497.1103.7
CHA0.4460.4170.4420.40493.499.090.5
18:45

details
CHN0.5170.5570.5240.574107.5101.1110.8
SLN0.5220.4430.4760.42685.191.481.8
20:38

details
HOU0.561NANANANANANA
ANA0.476NANANANANANA
20:40

details
BOS0.603HAHA0.593HAHA98.4
OAK0.457HAHA0.407HAHA89.1
21:10

details
SEA0.4070.4190.3870.376103.195.292.5
LAN0.6350.5810.6130.62491.296.298.0

_