Baseball Handbook beta

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Expected Values for 2026-07-27

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

Time	Tm	Vegas	Neutral	HAP	HAWAA	Expected Values
13:35 details	SEA	0.565	O	O	O	O	O	O
	TEX	0.485	O	O	O	O	O	O
17:40 details	ARI	0.505	0.514	0.454	0.483	101.8	89.9	95.6
	PIT	0.528	0.486	0.546	0.517	91.9	103.2	97.7
17:40 details	PHI	0.655	0.701	0.671	0.712	107.3	102.7	108.9
	MIA	0.382	0.299	0.329	0.288	78.3	86.2	75.5
17:40 details	BAL	0.500	0.500	0.470	0.470	100.0	94.0	94.0
	DET	0.539	0.500	0.530	0.530	92.5	98.1	98.1
17:45 details	TOR	0.485	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
	WAS	0.556	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA	NA
18:10 details	ATL	0.524	O	O	O	O	O	O
	NYN	0.517	O	O	O	O	O	O
18:10 details	CLE	0.420	0.377	0.359	0.388	89.7	85.4	92.3
	CIN	0.621	0.623	0.641	0.612	100.3	103.2	98.5
18:40 details	NYA	0.587	0.571	0.540	0.541	97.1	91.8	92.0
	CHA	0.457	0.429	0.460	0.459	94.0	100.7	100.5
18:45 details	CHN	0.541	0.523	0.485	0.536	96.8	89.7	99.2
	SLN	0.495	0.477	0.515	0.464	96.4	104.0	93.7
20:38 details	HOU	0.515	0.474	0.443	0.487	92.0	85.9	94.5
	ANA	0.524	0.526	0.557	0.513	100.5	106.4	98.0
20:40 details	BOS	0.653	0.616	0.584	0.655	94.2	89.4	100.2
	OAK	0.395	0.384	0.416	0.345	97.2	105.2	87.3
20:45 details	MIL	0.583	0.568	0.534	0.600	97.1	91.3	102.6
	SFN	0.469	0.432	0.466	0.400	92.0	99.3	85.2