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Expected Values for 2025-09-07

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:05

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SEA0.5330.5630.5190.533105.897.6100.2
ATL0.5100.4370.4810.46785.794.391.5
11:10

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CLE0.4220.4410.4110.413104.597.497.9
TBA0.6180.5590.5890.58790.695.495.1
12:35

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MIL0.580NANANANANANA
PIT0.461NANANANANANA
12:35

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TOR0.4020.3830.3390.35595.484.488.4
NYA0.6400.6170.6610.64596.3103.1100.6
12:35

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LAN0.620HAHA0.560HAHA90.2
BAL0.422HAHA0.440HAHA104.3
12:40

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CHA0.3950.4080.3790.345103.295.987.3
DET0.6470.5920.6210.65591.896.3101.5
12:40

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PHI0.5850.5500.5190.56794.188.797.0
MIA0.4570.4500.4810.43398.5105.394.8
12:40

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NYN0.498NANANANANANA
CIN0.543NANANANANANA
13:10

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MIN0.4900.5050.4760.469103.097.195.7
KCA0.5520.4950.5240.53189.694.896.1
13:15

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SFN0.463------
SLN0.578------
13:20

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WAS0.383NANANANANANA
CHN0.660NANANANANANA
13:35

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HOU0.5830.5800.5480.59299.293.7101.2
TEX0.4590.4200.4520.40891.698.588.9
14:10

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SDN0.719OOOOOO
COL0.324OOOOOO
15:07

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OAK0.537NANANANANANA
ANA0.502NANANANANANA
15:10

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BOS0.5190.5610.5320.531108.3102.7102.5
ARI0.5220.4390.4680.46984.389.990.0

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