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Expected Values for 2025-07-19

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
14:07

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SFN0.5580.5770.5460.535103.397.795.8
TOR0.4850.4230.4540.46587.193.595.8
15:10

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CIN0.400OOOOOO
NYN0.643OOOOOO
15:10

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KCA0.548HAHA0.537HAHA98.3
MIA0.495HAHA0.463HAHA93.5
17:05

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ANA0.4740.4980.4700.461105.199.297.3
PHI0.5670.5020.5300.53988.493.394.9
17:40

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CHA0.4650.5150.4930.449110.7106.096.5
PIT0.5740.4850.5070.55184.488.295.9
17:45

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SDN0.588NANANANANANA
WAS0.455NANANANANANA
18:05

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DET0.4980.5280.4830.541106.197.1108.7
TEX0.5450.4720.5170.45986.494.684.0
18:05

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BAL0.4810.5000.4700.470104.097.897.8
TBA0.5610.5000.5300.53089.094.394.3
18:10

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OAK0.4650.4700.4390.440101.094.494.6
CLE0.5740.5300.5610.56092.297.697.4
18:15

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SLN0.565OOOOOO
ARI0.474OOOOOO
18:15

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BOS0.439------
CHN0.605------
18:15

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NYA0.5650.6050.5670.575107.1100.4101.8
ATL0.4760.3950.4330.42583.090.989.2
19:10

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MIN0.6600.6770.6330.728102.996.2110.7
COL0.3830.3230.3670.27284.395.871.0
20:10

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MIL0.474NANANANANANA
LAN0.565NANANANANANA
20:40

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HOU0.4720.4910.4620.504104.197.9106.8
SEA0.5690.5090.5380.49689.694.787.3

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