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Expected Values for 2025-07-04

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
10:05

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BOS0.5310.5420.5120.559101.996.3105.1
WAS0.5100.4580.4880.44189.895.686.4
12:05

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CIN0.431OOOOOO
PHI0.611OOOOOO
13:20

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SLN0.446HAHA0.391HAHA87.6
CHN0.597HAHA0.609HAHA102.3
14:10

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NYA0.507NANANANANANA
NYN0.531NANANANANANA
15:10

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PIT0.3920.3680.3370.31093.885.979.0
SEA0.6520.6320.6630.69096.7101.4105.6
15:10

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TBA0.4980.5200.4890.533104.598.3107.1
MIN0.5430.4800.5110.46788.394.085.9
17:40

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TEX0.5240.4890.4580.45293.487.586.3
SDN0.5170.5110.5420.54898.6104.6105.8
18:07

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ANA0.4480.4660.4370.430103.997.595.9
TOR0.5950.5340.5630.57089.794.695.8
18:10

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DET0.5580.5480.5180.56098.192.7100.2
CLE0.4830.4520.4820.44093.699.891.1
18:10

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MIL0.5760.5590.5120.57697.389.1100.2
MIA0.4650.4410.4880.42494.8104.991.2
18:15

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BAL0.392OOOOOO
ATL0.649OOOOOO
19:10

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CHA0.5480.5450.5150.51699.794.294.4
COL0.4950.4550.4850.48491.998.097.8
20:10

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HOU0.3910.3860.3480.34498.889.188.1
LAN0.6520.6140.6520.65693.999.8100.4
20:40

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KCA0.5100.4990.4690.51297.891.9100.4
ARI0.5310.5010.5310.48894.299.891.7
21:05

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SFN0.5220.5440.5130.561104.498.5107.7
OAK0.5190.4560.4870.43988.094.084.7

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