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Expected Values for 2025-05-14

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
11:05

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MIN0.5020.5100.4810.480101.595.795.5
BAL0.5370.4900.5190.52091.196.596.7
11:10

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MIN0.488NANANANANANA
BAL0.554NANANANANANA
12:05

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SLN0.3920.4120.3690.376105.194.195.9
PHI0.6490.5880.6310.62490.697.296.1
12:10

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MIL0.500NANANANANANA
CLE0.541NANANANANANA
14:45

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ARI0.5190.5290.4810.498102.192.896.1
SFN0.5220.4710.5190.50290.499.696.4
15:10

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NYA0.5330.5140.4840.52796.691.099.1
SEA0.5050.4860.5160.47396.2102.293.7
17:15

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SLN0.455XXXXXX
PHI0.585XXXXXX
17:40

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BOS0.339XXXXXX
DET0.702XXXXXX
18:07

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TBA0.424XXXXXX
TOR0.615XXXXXX
18:10

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PIT0.288XXXXXX
NYN0.753XXXXXX
18:14

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CHA0.345XXXXXX
CIN0.697XXXXXX
18:15

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WAS0.417XXXXXX
ATL0.623XXXXXX
18:40

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MIA0.353NANANANANANA
CHN0.688NANANANANANA
19:05

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COL0.346XXXXXX
TEX0.695XXXXXX
19:10

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KCA0.485NANANANANANA
HOU0.554NANANANANANA
20:40

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ANA0.391XXXXXX
SDN0.650XXXXXX
21:10

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OAK0.302NANANANANANA
LAN0.740NANANANANANA

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