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Expected Values for 2025-05-09

Expected Values on a 100 unit bet using currrent Vegas break even probability and TC simulation results. EVs less than 108 are don't bet games with numbers displayed. EVs greater than 108 are displayed with an O indicating lineups in and simulation complete but these games must go through another layer of scrutiny. Use your own judgement.

NA means one or more starters does not have enough IP this season to simulate. HA means the HAWAA simulation aborts this betting opportunity. All Dashes indicate a border line game. X means simulation not run yet for this game probably due to lineups not in.

TimeTmVegasNeutralHAPHAWAAExpected Values
17:40

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TEX0.2960.3330.2880.296112.697.3100.0
DET0.7460.6670.7120.70489.495.494.3
17:40

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ATL0.6000.6250.5920.641104.498.9107.0
PIT0.4420.3750.4080.35984.892.281.1
17:45

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SLN0.5220.5700.5410.540109.4103.9103.7
WAS0.5190.4300.4590.46083.088.688.8
18:05

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MIL0.5430.5470.5180.563100.695.3103.6
TBA0.4980.4530.4820.43791.196.987.8
18:10

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PHI0.5370.5370.5020.50799.993.494.3
CLE0.5000.4630.4980.49392.699.698.6
18:10

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CHN0.4550.4730.4280.442104.194.297.2
NYN0.5850.5270.5720.55890.197.895.4
18:40

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BOS0.5240.5010.4700.46495.789.888.6
KCA0.5170.4990.5300.53696.3102.3103.4
18:40

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MIA0.5980.6460.6150.658107.9102.7109.9
CHA0.4420.3540.3850.34280.087.077.3
19:10

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CIN0.380OOOOOO
HOU0.661OOOOOO
19:10

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SFN0.5190.5560.5110.569107.398.6109.8
MIN0.5220.4440.4890.43185.293.982.8
19:40

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SDN0.6430.6120.5820.65195.590.8101.6
COL0.4000.3880.4180.34997.0104.587.2
20:38

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BAL0.592XXXXXX
ANA0.448XXXXXX
20:40

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TOR0.457XXXXXX
SEA0.583XXXXXX
20:40

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LAN0.500XXXXXX
ARI0.543XXXXXX
21:05

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NYA0.593XXXXXX
OAK0.446XXXXXX

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